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ASTRID simulation forecasts what Rubin Observatory will see

Fatemeh Hafezianzadeh, Tianqing Zhang, Paul Rogozenski, Patrick Lachance, Yihao Zhou, Tiziana Di Matteo, Rupert A. C. Croft, Simeon Bird, Rachel Mandelbaum

May 13, 2026

Using the ASTRID hydrodynamical simulation, the team computed galaxy magnitudes by pairing stellar population synthesis with a dust attenuation model tied to metal surface density, calibrated against SDSS data at z = 0 and validated up to z = 1.5 in multiple optical bands. The resulting luminosity functions match observed galaxy statistics across wavelengths and redshifts. From this framework they built mock photometric catalogs covering 0 ≤ z ≤ 2 with roughly 378 million galaxies, complete with predicted apparent magnitudes in all six LSST bands and Schechter-function fits tracking how survey depth evolves from Year 1 to Year 10.
Published as The Galaxy Luminosity Functions in ASTRID: Predictions for LSST arXiv:2605.13843
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