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How Japan's war machine rigged stock prices for connected companies
Keiichi Morimoto, Akihiko Noda, Takenobu Yuki
May 20, 2026
Researchers analyzed Japanese stock prices from 1930 to 1943, finding that zaibatsu (major conglomerates) consistently outperformed competitors on the market—not because they were more profitable, but because wartime controls gave them preferential access to credit and materials. The market wasn't broken; it was working exactly as designed, correctly reflecting the political advantage of being well-connected.
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