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Did Cuba's 1961 health and literacy programs actually work long-term?

Giovanni Mellace, Rok Spruk

May 28, 2026

Researchers compared Cuba's health and education outcomes after 1961 against a synthetic control group of similar countries, tracking 122 years of data. Infant mortality dropped sharply and stayed down; schooling gains were similarly durable, though longevity improvements stalled after 1990 when Soviet aid dried up. The findings suggest that bundled public health and mass education programs create permanent early-life advantages even under economic stress.
Published as Long-Term Health and Human Capital Effects of Universal Health Care and Mass Literacy: Evidence from Cuba arXiv:2605.29785
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