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Why smaller generations live better lives than larger ones

Wolfgang Kuhle

June 1, 2026

The Easterlin hypothesis suggests people in large cohorts experience lower lifetime happiness because crowding drives down wages and resources. This paper builds a mathematical framework showing that when fertility cycles naturally emerge in an economy, smaller generations consistently enjoy higher lifetime utility than larger ones. The finding holds regardless of the economy's overall savings rate, hinting that generational luck—not just macroeconomic efficiency—shapes individual well-being.
Published as Endogenous Fertility Waves and the Dynamics of Utility in an Overlapping Generations Model arXiv:2606.02362
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