← Back to General Relativity & Quantum Cosmology
gr-qc

Were any LIGO black hole mergers actually chance encounters?

Lorenzo Pompili, Aldo Gamboa, Alessandra Buonanno

May 27, 2026

Most gravitational-wave models assume black holes spiral together on near-circular orbits, but some may form through chaotic close encounters. Analyzing 26 LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA events with an improved waveform model, five show mild statistical preference for eccentric orbits, and GW190521 — a previously controversial 150-solar-mass merger — shows slight but inconclusive preference for an unbound 'direct capture' origin. The new model is three times faster than its predecessor while being more accurate, making large-scale eccentric searches practical.
Published as Eccentric and unbound compact binaries in the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalog: parameter estimation and waveform systematics with SEOBNRv6EHM arXiv:2605.28716
Read the original paper →