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Did our universe's vacuum state switch on recently?

Yang Bai, Sida Lu, Nicholas Orlofsky

May 28, 2026

Physicists tested whether quantum tunneling to a lower-energy vacuum happened recently in cosmic history using galaxy surveys and supernova data. A model where 10% of dark matter converts to radiation at redshift ~7 fits current observations better than standard cosmology and could explain tensions between different cosmic measurements. The constraints are tight but not impossible: 10% drops in vacuum energy remain viable if the decay happened in the last billion years.
Published as Late-time Quantum Vacuum Decay and its Cosmological Implications arXiv:2605.30259
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