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Do real electric vehicles emit far more than their official ratings claim?

Shuhan Ge, Yanqiao Deng, Minda Ma

May 28, 2026

Researchers tracked 2.5 years of real-world driving data from all EV models in Shanghai to measure actual energy use and emissions. Test-cycle ratings systematically underestimate consumption by 20–55% for battery and plug-in hybrids, and up to 3.75× for extended-range models. Most operational emissions come from the electricity grid, not the vehicles themselves—meaning EV climate benefits depend critically on how fast cities decarbonize their power supplies.
Published as Quantifying real-world energy use and CO2 emissions of electric vehicles via a city-scale bottom-up framework arXiv:2605.29266
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