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Do people change behavior when they see others getting sick differently?

Yuan Liu, Michael Sieber, Bin Wu, Arne Traulsen

May 21, 2026

Researchers modeled how people choose between following or ignoring public health measures (masks, distancing) based on watching infection rates around them. When measures work well, people see fewer infections among followers and stick with them; when outbreaks are severe, even weak interventions can dramatically cut infections because behavior shifts in response. The study reveals a feedback loop: disease patterns directly reshape individual choices, which then reshape disease patterns.
Published as Changes in behaviour when adherers to an intervention experience a different epidemic than non-adherers arXiv:2605.22588
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