← Back to Populations and Evolution
q-bio.PE

Why small populations flip between thriving and vanishing

Lucas M. Brugevin, Damián H. Zanette

May 26, 2026

Small populations don't behave like shrunk versions of large ones. Random birth-death events push populations into alternating boom and bust cycles, with active periods showing a strange split: either tiny populations barely limping along, or near-capacity survivors. When individuals cluster geographically rather than mix freely, extinction becomes more frequent—a pattern that matters for conservation of endangered species and disease elimination.
Published as Logistic dynamics of small populations with demographic stochasticity arXiv:2605.27100
Read the original paper →