Can AI predict Nasdaq futures five minutes ahead? Not yet.

Researchers tested whether five-minute candlestick patterns in Micro Nasdaq futures (MNQ) contain predictable structure using LSTM and gradient boosting models on 944 trading days. Neither approach beat a coin flip: best accuracy was 50.89%, indistinguishable from noise. The finding suggests that even state-of-the-art sequential learning needs far more data or structural insight than raw price bars alone.