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Averaging multiple causal graphs to find the right one

Yunan Wu, Yue Wang, Chunlin Li, Chenglong Ye

May 18, 2026

Finding causal structure from data is unstable: small changes in the data yield wildly different graphs. DAGgr sidesteps this by aggregating multiple candidate DAGs, weighting them by predictive accuracy on held-out data, then thresholding edge strengths to ensure the final graph remains acyclic. On synthetic networks and real protein-signaling data, this ensemble approach beats both individual models and standard bootstrap averaging.
Published as Stable Causal Discovery via Directed Acyclic Graph Aggregation arXiv:2605.18633
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